Season progress · 2026/27

Matchweek 9: final scorecard

Every fixture and every original locked call. Live results view

10/10Fixtures with a locked call

3–3Super Tips won–lost of 6

50%Hit rate: 3 of 6 settled (push 0, void 0 excluded)

4Passes (not recommended, never counted)

Chelsea v Man United
2–0 full time (verified)
Pass — not recommended. Candidate: Chelsea win or draw (68%)
Candidate would have won
The candidate would have won: Chelsea won 2–0; this candidate required Chelsea to win or draw.
Locked 30 Oct, 23:10 GMT, v1, tl-poisson-v1.1, fingerprint c15ca0fbbee1… · Result sources: [1][2][3]
Bournemouth v Leeds
2–0 full time (verified)
Pass — not recommended. Candidate: Bournemouth win or draw (70%)
Candidate would have won
The candidate would have won: Bournemouth won 2–0; this candidate required Bournemouth to win or draw.
Locked 30 Oct, 23:10 GMT, v1, tl-poisson-v1.1, fingerprint bf4278ca3f77… · Result sources: [1][2][3]
Brentford v Nott'm Forest
2–0 full time (verified)
Brentford win or draw · 73% · strong
Won
Won: Brentford won 2–0; this pick required Brentford to win or draw.
Locked 30 Oct, 23:10 GMT, v1, tl-poisson-v1.1, fingerprint 8699ac1d1590… · Result sources: [1][2]
Coventry v Sunderland
3–1 full time (verified)
Sunderland win or draw · 63% · lean
Lost
Lost: Sunderland were beaten 3–1; this pick required Sunderland to win or draw.
Locked 30 Oct, 23:10 GMT, v1, tl-poisson-v1.1, fingerprint c9e2232443b1… · Result sources: [1][2]
Hull v Ipswich
2–2 full time (verified)
Hull to win · 55% · lean
Lost
Lost: it was a 2–2 draw; this pick required Hull to win.
Locked 30 Oct, 23:10 GMT, v1, tl-poisson-v1.1, fingerprint d9cfed7c86af… · Result sources: [1][2][3]
Man City v Brighton
0–1 full time (verified)
Man City over 1.5 goals · 58% · lean
Lost
Lost: Man City scored 0 (0–1); this pick required Man City to score at least 2 goals.
Locked 30 Oct, 23:10 GMT, v1, tl-poisson-v1.1, fingerprint 9818fb26b5ef… · Result sources: [1][2]
Tottenham v Crystal Palace
2–0 full time (verified)
Pass — not recommended. Candidate: Tottenham win or draw (72%)
Candidate would have won
The candidate would have won: Tottenham won 2–0; this candidate required Tottenham to win or draw.
Locked 30 Oct, 23:10 GMT, v1, tl-poisson-v1.1, fingerprint 708a572d1756… · Result sources: [1][2][3]
Aston Villa v Fulham
1–1 full time (verified)
Aston Villa win or draw · 74% · strong
Won
Won: it was a 1–1 draw; this pick required Aston Villa to win or draw.
Locked 30 Oct, 23:10 GMT, v1, tl-poisson-v1.1, fingerprint 61567bdb1ab4… · Result sources: [1][2]
Liverpool v Arsenal
0–1 full time (verified)
Arsenal win or draw · 69% · strong
Won
Won: Arsenal won 1–0; this pick required Arsenal to win or draw.
Locked 30 Oct, 23:10 GMT, v1, tl-poisson-v1.1, fingerprint 90c522b38ab1… · Result sources: [1][2]
Newcastle v Everton
0–1 full time (verified)
Pass — not recommended. Candidate: Newcastle win or draw (72%)
Candidate would have lost
The candidate would have lost: Newcastle were beaten 1–0; this candidate required Newcastle to win or draw.
Locked 30 Oct, 23:10 GMT, v1, tl-poisson-v1.1, fingerprint f4fc2fc344f5… · Result sources: [1][2]

Final recap

Same report as the export

3 of 6 is within the normal range for these probabilities: no sign of a problem, and no sign of brilliance either. 10 of 10 fixtures have a locked call; 10 of 10 played or called off. 6 settled Super Tips is far too few to judge the model; nothing is tuned on one weekend, and no advantage is claimed.

Plain text, ready to paste

Touchline Lab, Matchweek 9 (2026-27): final recap
Coverage: 10/10 fixtures with a locked call, 10/10 played or called off.
Super Tips: 3 won, 3 lost (of 6). Passes: 4, 3 of 4 would have won.
Expected winners if our probabilities are right: about 3.9 (usually 2–5).
3 of 6 is within the normal range for these probabilities: no sign of a problem, and no sign of brilliance either. 10 of 10 fixtures have a locked call; 10 of 10 played or called off. 6 settled Super Tips is far too few to judge the model; nothing is tuned on one weekend, and no advantage is claimed.

- Brentford v Nott'm Forest: Brentford win or draw (73%, strong) ✓ won, 2–0
  https://touchline.tips/match/brentford-v-nottm-forest?season=2026-27
- Coventry v Sunderland: Sunderland win or draw (63%, lean) ✗ lost, 3–1
  https://touchline.tips/match/coventry-v-sunderland?season=2026-27
- Hull v Ipswich: Hull to win (55%, lean) ✗ lost, 2–2
  https://touchline.tips/match/hull-v-ipswich?season=2026-27
- Man City v Brighton: Man City over 1.5 goals (58%, lean) ✗ lost, 0–1
  https://touchline.tips/match/man-city-v-brighton?season=2026-27
- Aston Villa v Fulham: Aston Villa win or draw (74%, strong) ✓ won, 1–1
  https://touchline.tips/match/aston-villa-v-fulham?season=2026-27
- Liverpool v Arsenal: Arsenal win or draw (69%, strong) ✓ won, 0–1
  https://touchline.tips/match/liverpool-v-arsenal?season=2026-27

Passes (not recommended, graded separately):
- Chelsea v Man United: Chelsea win or draw (68%, pass) candidate would have won, 2–0
  https://touchline.tips/match/chelsea-v-man-utd?season=2026-27
- Bournemouth v Leeds: Bournemouth win or draw (70%, pass) candidate would have won, 2–0
  https://touchline.tips/match/bournemouth-v-leeds?season=2026-27
- Tottenham v Crystal Palace: Tottenham win or draw (72%, pass) candidate would have won, 2–0
  https://touchline.tips/match/tottenham-v-crystal-palace?season=2026-27
- Newcastle v Everton: Newcastle win or draw (72%, pass) candidate would have lost, 0–1
  https://touchline.tips/match/newcastle-v-everton?season=2026-27

Locked before kickoff; fingerprints in data/locked/2026-27-md9.json. Probabilities, not promises.

Open the printable recap (same data; use your browser's print).