Pattern explorer
Find your own angle.
Slice 2,370 Premier League results since 2020/21 by team, venue, kickoff time and season. Every number comes with its sample size and a plausible range, because small samples tell good stories and bad predictions.
Liverpool at home at 16:30
Raw results, not adjusted for opponentsWon 9 of 22 (41%), drew 8, lost 5. At other times: 69 of 97 (71%).
0%dot: win rate, band: plausible range, tick: other times100%
The other-times rate sits outside the plausible range. Interesting, but check opponents and how many slices you have tried before trusting it.
1.86Liverpool goals per game (conceded 1.32)
59%Over 2.5 total goals, 55% other times
59%Both teams scored, 53% other times
Weather, rest and travel are next. They need data that was knowable before each match (archived forecasts, full cup and European calendars) so that a pattern found here can be tested fairly. Kickoff times are UK clock times; daylight is a separate question we have not modelled yet.